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Multifamily decline pushes housing starts down in September

Oct. 22, 2018 –  Led by a drop in multifamily production, total housing starts fell 5.3 per cent in September to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.2 million units, according to newly released data from the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development and the Commerce Department.


October 22, 2018
By NAHB

The September reading of 1.2 million is the number of housing units builders would start if they maintained this pace for the next 12 months. Within this overall number, single-family starts edged down 0.9 per cent to 871,000 units. Meanwhile, multifamily starts – which includes apartment buildings and condos – fell 15.2 per cent to 330,000.

Overall permits – which are an indicator of future housing production – registered a 0.6 per cent drop in September, also due to multifamily softening. Multifamily permits decreased 7.6 per cent to a 390,000 unit pace while single-family permits rose 2.9 per cent to an annualized rate of 851,000.

“Housing starts are in line with builder sentiment, which shows that builders are overall confident in the housing market but continue to face supply-side challenges,” said NAHB Chairman Randy Noel, a custom home builder from LaPlace, La. “Though lumber prices have declined recently, builders remain concerned about labour shortages, especially as the number
of unfilled construction jobs has reached a post-recession high.”

“This report is consistent with our forecast for gradual strengthening in the single-family sector of the housing market following the summer soft patch,” said NAHB Chief Economist Robert Dietz. “A growing economy coupled with positive demographics for housing should keep the market moving forward at a modest pace in the months ahead.”

Regionally in September, combined single-family and multifamily housing starts rose 29 per cent in the Northeast and 6.6 per cent in the West. Starts fell 13.7 per cent in the South and 14 per cent in the Midwest.

Permit issuance rose 11.1 per cent in the West and 0.6 per cent in the South. Permits were down 9.8 per cent in the Northeast and 18.9 per cent in the Midwest.